Introduction

Climate Research

Erik Kjellström¹  Filippo Giorgi¹ 

关键词: ENSEMBLES;    RCM ensemble;    Europe;    Weighting scheme;   

DOI  :  10.3354/cr00976

来源: Inter-Research Science Publishing

【 摘 要 】

ABSTRACT: An ensemble of regional climate models downscaling reanalysis data has been evaluated against observations for the time period 1961–2000. Various aspects of model performance including both their representation of large-scale features and their ability to add value on smaller spatial scales have been considered. A set of metrics has been derived and combined into a performance-based weigthing system that is used in the production of probabilistic climate change projections. Strengths and weaknesses of weighting techniques for RCM ensembles are discussed.

【 授权许可】

Unknown