Developing regional climate change scenarios for use in assessment of effects on human health and disease

Climate Research

N. Diffenbaugh¹  F. Giorgi¹ 

关键词: Climate change;    Human health impacts;    Disease impacts;    Temperature change;    Precipitation change;    Climate scenarios;   

DOI  :  10.3354/cr00728

来源: Inter-Research Science Publishing

【 摘 要 】

ABSTRACT: Climatic changes induced by anthropogenic increases in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases could have substantial effects on human health and the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. In order to assess such impacts, climate change information is needed at the regional scale. In the present paper we provide a discussion of the tools and methodologies available today to produce regional climate change information along with a review of the more robust regional climate change patterns indicated by the latest-generation model simulations. We also present an analysis of the uncertainties underlying the simulation of climate change. The discussion is presented within the context of the use of climate change scenarios at the global to regional scale for studies of human health and disease impacts.

【 授权许可】

Unknown