Pierre-François Verhulst et la loi logistique de la population

Mathématiques et sciences humaines. Mathematics and social sciences

Delmas, Bernard¹ 

关键词: demographical model;    demographical previsions;    Verhulst;    Quetelet Adolphe;    Malthus Thomas Robert;    Pearl Raymond;    logistic law;    population dynamics;   

DOI  :  10.4000/msh.2893

学科分类：数学（综合）

来源: College de France * Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (E H E S S)

【 摘 要 】

With the progress made by demographic analysis, the first attempts to formalize the dynamics of populations seem to have lost much of their theoretical and practical interests. But, if researches favouring the global approach – through which Quetelet and his disciple Verhulst became famous in the 1830s, then Pearl and Reed in the 1920s – have become obsolete, as far as prediction of human populations growth is concerned, they nevertheless represent a very significant landmark in the history of the “mathematisation”of the social sciences.

【 授权许可】

Unknown