期刊论文详细信息
Frontiers in Psychology | |
The psychology of Bayesian reasoning | |
David R. M1  | |
关键词: Bayesian reasoning; belief revision; subjective probability; human judgment; psychological methods; | |
DOI : 10.3389/fpsyg.2014.01144 | |
学科分类:心理学(综合) | |
来源: Frontiers | |
【 摘 要 】
Most psychological research on Bayesian reasoning since the 1970s has used a type of problem that tests a certain kind of statistical reasoning performance. The subject is given statistical facts within a hypothetical scenario. Those facts include a base-rate statistic and one or two diagnostic probabilities. The subject is meant to use that information to arrive at a “posterior” probability estimate. For instance, in one well-known problem (Eddy, 1982) the subject encounters the following:.
【 授权许可】
CC BY
【 预 览 】
Files | Size | Format | View |
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RO201904020763942ZK.pdf | 486KB | download |