期刊论文详细信息
BMC Public Health
Do federal and state audits increase compliance with a grant program to improve municipal infrastructure (AUDIT study): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial
Fernando Martel García1  Ana L De La O2 
[1]Cambridge Social Science Decision Lab Inc., 2020 Pennsylvania Ave. N.W., Washington, USA
[2]Department of Political Science, Yale University, 77 Prospect Street, New Haven, USA
关键词: Hypotehsis testing;    Randomization;    Exploratory trial;    Accountability;    Municipal governance;    Public health;    Public services;   
Others  :  1128033
DOI  :  10.1186/1471-2458-14-912
 received in 2013-01-10, accepted in 2014-07-21,  发布年份 2014
PDF
【 摘 要 】

Background

Poor governance and accountability compromise young democracies’ efforts to provide public services critical for human development, including water, sanitation, health, and education. Evidence shows that accountability agencies like superior audit institutions can reduce corruption and waste in federal grant programs financing service infrastructure. However, little is know about their effect on compliance with grant reporting and resource allocation requirements, or about the causal mechanisms. This study protocol for an exploratory randomized controlled trial tests the hypothesis that federal and state audits increase compliance with a federal grant program to improve municipal service infrastructure serving marginalized households.

Methods/Design

The AUDIT study is a block randomized, controlled, three-arm parallel group exploratory trial. A convenience sample of 5 municipalities in each of 17 states in Mexico (n=85) were block randomized to be audited by federal auditors (n=17), by state auditors (n=17), and a control condition outside the annual program of audits (n=51) in a 1:1:3 ratio. Replicable and verifiable randomization was performed using publicly available lottery numbers. Audited municipalities were included in the national program of audits and received standard audits on their use of federal public service infrastructure grants. Municipalities receiving moderate levels of grant transfers were recruited, as these were outside the auditing sampling frame – and hence audit program – or had negligible probabilities of ever being audited. The primary outcome measures capture compliance with the grant program and markers for the causal mechanisms, including deterrence and information effects. Secondary outcome measure include differences in audit reports across federal and state auditors, and measures like career concerns, political promotions, and political clientelism capturing synergistic effects with municipal accountability systems. The survey firm and research assistants assessing outcomes were blind to treatment status.

Discussion

This study will improve our understanding of local accountability systems for public service delivery in the 17 states under study, and may have downstream policy implications. The study design also demonstrates the use of verifiable and replicable randomization, and of sequentially partitioned hypotheses to reduce the Type I error rate in multiple hypothesis tests.

Trial registration

Controlled-trials.com Identifier ISRCTN22381841: Date registered 02/11/2012

【 授权许可】

   
2014 De La O and Martel García; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

【 预 览 】
附件列表
Files Size Format View
20150222065857986.pdf 386KB PDF download
Figure 1. 51KB Image download
【 图 表 】

Figure 1.

【 参考文献 】
  • [1]Devarajan S, Reinikka R: Making services work for poor people. J Afr Econ 2004, 13(suppl 1):142-166.
  • [2]Sen AK: Development as Freedom, 1st edn. New York: Anchor Books; 2000:366.
  • [3]World Bank: World Development Report 2004: Making Services Work for Poor People. New York: Oxford University Press; 2004:288.
  • [4]Lewis M: Governance and Corruption in Public Health Care Systems.. SSRN eLibrary; 2006. [http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.984046 webcite]
  • [5]Devarajan S, Widlund I: The Politics of Service Delivery in Democracies: better access for the poor. Sweden: Technical report, Expert, Group On Development Issues, Ministry of Foreign Affairs; 2007.
  • [6]Nelson JM: Elections, democracy, and social services. Stud Comp Int Dev 2007, 41:79-97.
  • [7]Rajkumar AS, Swaroop V: Public spending and outcomes: does governance matter? J Dev Econ 2008, 86(1):96-111.
  • [8]Mares I, Carnes ME: Social policy in developing countries. Annu Rev Polit Sci 2009, 12:93-113.
  • [9]Meltzer AH, Richard SF: A rational theory of the size of government. J Polit Econ 1981, 89(5):914-927.
  • [10]Przeworski A, Stokes SC, Manin B: Democracy, Accountability, and Representation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 1999.
  • [11]Persson T, Roland G, Tabellini G: Separation of powers and political accountability. Q J Econ 1997, 112(4):1163-1202.
  • [12]Fearon JD: Electoral accountability and the control of politicians: selecting good types versus sanctioning poor performance. In Democracy, Accountability and Representation. Edited by Przeworski A, Stokes S, Manin B. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 1999:55-97. Chap. 4
  • [13]O’Donnell G, Currents TC: Horizontal accountability in new democracies. J Democr 1998, 9:112-126.
  • [14]Moreno E, Crisp BF, Shugart MS: The accountability deficit in Latin America. In Democratic Accountability in Latin America. Edited by Mainwaring S, Welna C. New York: Oxford University Press; 2003:79-132.
  • [15]Sklar RL: Developmental democracy. Comp Stud Soc Hist 1987, 29(4):686-714.
  • [16]O’Donell GA: Delegative democracy. J Democr 1994, 5(1):55-69.
  • [17]Diamond LJ, Plattner MF, Schedler A: Introduction. In The Self-restraining State: Power and Accountability in New Democracies. Boulder: Lynne Rienner Publishers; 1999.
  • [18]Mainwaring S, Welna C: Democratic Accountability in Latin America. New York: Oxford University Press; 2003.
  • [19]Ackerman Rose JM: Organismos Autónomos Y Democracia: El Caso Mexicano. México: Siglo XXI Editores; 2007.
  • [20]Di Tella R, Schargrodsky E: The role of wages and auditing during a crackdown on corruption in the city of buenos aires. J Law Econ 2003, 46(1):269-292.
  • [21]Olken BA: Monitoring corruption: evidence from a field experiment in Indonesia. J Polit Econ 2007, 115(2):200-249.
  • [22]Litschig S, Zamboni Y: Audit risk and rent extraction: evidence from a randomized evaluation in Brazil. Working Papers 554, Barcelona, Graduate School of Economics, 2012
  • [23]Polinsky M, Shavell S: The theory of public enforcement of law. In The Handbook of Law and Economics. Edited by Polinsky AM, Shavell S. Amsterdam: North-holland; 2007:403-454. Chap. 6
  • [24]Schelker M, Eichenberger R: Rethinking Public Auditing Institutions: Empirical Evidence from Swiss Municipalities. Working paper series, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA); 2008.
  • [25]Schelker M: The influence of auditor term length and term limits on us state general obligation bond ratings. Publ Choice 2012, 150:27-49.
  • [26]Blume L, Voigt S: Does organizational design of supreme audit institutions matter? A cross-country assessment. European J Polit Econ 2011, 27(2):215-229.
  • [27]Melo MA, Pereira C, Figueiredo CM: Political and institutional checks on corruption: explaining the performance of Brazilian Audit Institutions. Comp Polit Stud 2009, 42(9):1217-1244.
  • [28]Ferraz C, Finan F: Exposing corrupt politicians: the effects of Brazil’s publicly released audits on electoral outcomes. Q J Econ 2008, 123(2):703-745.
  • [29]Bobonis GJ, Fuertes LRC, Schwabe R: Does exposing corrupt politicians reduce corruption? 2009. [mitsloan.mit.edu/neudc/papers/paper_354.pdf]
  • [30]Pereira C, Melo MA, Figueiredo CM: The corruption-enhancing role of re-election incentives?: counterintuitive evidence from Brazil’s Audit Reports. Polit Res Q 2009, 62(4):731-744.
  • [31]Olken BA, Pande R: Corruption in developing countries. Working Paper 17398, National Bureau of Economic Research, 2011
  • [32]Becker GS: Crime and punishment: an economic approach. J Polit Econ 1968, 76(2):169-217.
  • [33]Becker GS, Stigler GJ: Law enforcement, malfeasance, and compensation of enforcers. J Legal Stud 1974, 3:1.
  • [34]Ferraz C, Finan F: Electoral accountability and corruption: evidence from the audits of local governments. Am Econ Rev 2011, 101(4):1274-1311.
  • [35]Gobierno De Los Estados Unidos Mexicanos: Plan nacional de desarrollo 2007–2012. Technical report, Presidencia de la República; 2007.
  • [36]Auditoría Superior de la Nación: Informe del resultado de la fiscalización superior de la cuenta pública 2009: Marco de referencia. Technical Report, Volume V, Title 4, Section 1, Auditoría Superior de la Nación; 2011.
  • [37]García M: Cómo ejercen recursos y rinden cuentas los municipios? el caso del fondo para la infraestructura social municipal del ramo 33.. Technical report, Centro de, Investigación para el Desarrollo (CIDAC); 2008.
  • [38]Pardinas JE: Índice de competitividad estatal 2010: La caja negra del gasto público.. Technical report, Instituto, Mexicano para la Competitividad (IMCO); 2010.
  • [39]Moher D, Hopewell S, Schulz KF, Montori V, Gøtzsche PC, Devereaux PJ, Elbourne D, Egger M, Altman DG: Consort 2010 statement: updated guidelines for reporting parallel group randomised trials. BMC Med 2010, 8(1):18. BioMed Central Full Text
  • [40]Moher D, Hopewell S, Schulz KF, Montori V, Gøtzsche PC, Devereaux PJ, Elbourne D, Egger M, Altman DG: Consort 2010 explanation and elaboration: updated guidelines for reporting parallel group randomised trials. BMJ 2010, 340:1-28.
  • [41]ASF: Informe del resultado de la fiscalización superior de la cuenta pública 2008: Tomo x vol. 1 - marco de referencia.. Technical Report, X, vol. 1, Auditoría Superior de la Nación; 2010.
  • [42]Merino M, Aramburo M: Informe sobre la evolución y el desempeño de la auditoría superior de la federación.. Technical report, Auditoría, Superior de la Federación; 2009.
  • [43]ASF: Informe del resultado de la revisión y fiscalización superior de la cuenta pública 2007.. Technical Report, I, Auditoría Superior de la Federación; 2009.
  • [44]Figueroa Neri A: Buenas, malas o raras. las leyes mexicanas de fiscalización superior (2000–2009).. Technical report, Auditoría, Superior de la Federación; 2009.
  • [45]Abadie A, Imbens G: Estimation of the conditional variance in paired experiments. Annales d’Economie et de Statistique 2008, 91–92:175-187.
  • [46]Imbens G: Experimental design of cluster randomized trials. Technical report, 3ie. 2011,Prepared for the International Initiative for Impact Evaluation, 3ie
  • [47]Gelman A: A bayesian formulation of exploratory data analysis and goodness-of-fit testing. Int Stat Rev 2003, 71(2):369-382.
  • [48]Gelman A: Exploratory data analysis for complex models. J Comput Graph Stat 2004, 13(4):755-779.
  • [49]Keele L, McConnaughy C, White I: Strengthening the experimenter’s toolbox: statistical estimation of internal validity. Am J Pol Sci 2012, 56(2):484-499.
  • [50]Rosenbaum PR: Design of Observational Studies. New York: Springer; 2009.
  • [51]Small DS, Volpp KG, Rosenbaum PR: Structured testing of 2 ×2 factorial effects: an analytic plan requiring fewer observations. Am Stat 2011, 65(1):11-15.
  • [52]Gerber A, Green DP: Field Experiments: Design, Analysis, and Interpretation. New York: W. W. Norton & Company; 2012.
  • [53]Martel García F: Identifying Causal Effects in Field Experiments with Attrition: a Graphical Approach. Mimeo; 2012.
  • [54]Holland PW: Causal inference, path analysis, and recursive structural equations models. Socio Meth 1988, 18:449-484.
  • [55]Imbens GW, Rosenbaum PR: Robust, accurate confidence intervals with a weak instrument: quarter of birth and education. J Roy Stat Soc 2005, 168(1):109-126.
  • [56]Chickering DM, Pearl J: A clinician’s tool for analyzing non-compliance. In Proceedings of the Thirteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence - Volume 2.. AAAI Press; 1996:1269-1276. [http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1864519.1864575 webcite]
  • [57]Rosenbaum PR: Interference between units in randomized experiments. J Am Stat Assoc 2007, 102:191-200.
  • [58]O’Connell ME, Boat TF, Warner KE: Preventing Mental, Emotional, and Behavioral Disorders Among Young People: Progress and Possibilities. Washington, DC: National Academy Press; 2009.
  文献评价指标  
  下载次数:11次 浏览次数:22次