Forecasting of PVB Film Using ARIMA

International Conference on Design, Engineering and Computer Sciences 2018

工业技术;计算机科学

Ngadono, Teguh Sri^1 ; Ikatrinasari, Zulfa Fitri^1

Universitas Mercu Buana, India^1

关键词: ARIMA;    ARIMA modeling;    Automotive;    Automotive glass;    Car manufacture;    Forecasting methods;    Laminated glass;    Production capacity;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/453/1/012012/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/453/1/012012

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Automotive industries especially car manufacture is the highest technologies at this time. Its production is increase in several years. One of car component that produced in Indonesia is automotive glass. Automotive glass that we knew is Laminated and Temperlite. The kind of glass that can show car quantity is Laminated Glass because it used only one on the car. One of material that used for Laminated Glass is PVB Films. Forecasting become important to set production capacity. In this study we use ARIMA forecasting method by MINITAB to calculate plan of consumption PVB Films based on data of 12 months consumption result on 2017. The result show that ARIMA 0-1-1 is the best model. The quantity result is higher than other ARIMA Model that are 1-1-0 and 1-1-1.