Forecasting the Catch Data of E.sinensis by Applying Continuous Time Markov Approach

2018 5th International Conference on Advanced Composite Materials and Manufacturing Engineering

Feng, Guangpeng^1 ; Li, Yanhua^2 ; Wu, Bin^2 ; Ma, Benhe^2 ; Hu, Huogen^3 ; Wang, Haihua^1,2

East China Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai, China^1

Jiangxi Institute for Fisheries Sciences, Nanchang, China^2

Jiangxi Fisheries Technology Extension Station, Nanchang, China^3

关键词: Continuous-time;    FORECAST model;    Optimization method;    Yangtze River estuary;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/394/5/052006/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/394/5/052006

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The forecast model for catch data of E.sinensis was built by using continuous time Markov approach, combining with optimization method (0.618) based on of catch data of E.sinensis in Yangtze River estuary from 1970∼2012. And a forecast on the catch data of E.sinensis in 2013 was made in this paper. The result showed that the forecast was corresponded to the catch data accurately and provides a new method for the prediction of crab resources.