Risk-Based Thinking and Decision-Making Methods in Conditions of Total Uncertainty

21st International Scientific Conference on Advanced in Civil Engineering "Construction - The Formation of Living Environment"

土木建筑工程

Ivanov, Nikolay^1

Moscow State University of Civil Engineering, Yaroslavskoe shosse 26, Moscow

129337, Russia^1

关键词: Construction products;    Consumer expectations;    Decision-making method;    Financial problems;    Financial resources;    New technologies;    Preventive action;    Total uncertainties;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/365/6/062014/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/365/6/062014

学科分类：土木及结构工程学

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Nowadays globalization, outsourcing and new technologies create the additional risks and uncertainities for organizations. An unclear and complicated reality establishes a new request for additional risk management tools for business. According to the conditions of the economic crisis, the construction industry, like most branches of the Russian economy, lacks financial resources for completing full elimination of inconsistency risks of real construction products with consumer expectations. First of all, this situation is usually for small companies which constantly have financial problems. In such a situation, classical models of nonconformance management, based on CAPA (Corrective and preventive action), become ineffective. There is a need for low-cost but acceptable approaches to management of nonconformities from the point of view of effectiveness. According to the author's opinion, one of the ways of solving this problem can be the development of heuristic algorithms for the formation of an action plan aimed at reducing the risks of inconsistencies.