A Study of Commuters' Decision-Making When Delaying Departure for Work-Home Trips

2017 International Conference on Material Engineering and Advanced Manufacturing Technology

Que, Fangjie^1 ; Wang, Wei^1

School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing

210096, China^1

关键词: Decision-making behaviors;    Departure time;    Individual choice;    Multinomial Logit;    Parameter calibration;    Research focus;    Travel behaviors;    Travel surveys;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/282/1/012010/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/282/1/012010

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Studies on the travel behaviors and patterns of residents are important to the arrangement of urban layouts and urban traffic planning. However, research on the characteristics of the decision-making behavior regarding departure time is not fully expanded yet. In this paper, the research focuses on commuters' decision-making behavior regarding departure delay. According to the 2013 travel survey data of Suzhou City, a nested logit (NL) model was built to represent the probabilities of individual choices. Parameter calibration was conducted, so that the significant factors influencing the departure delay were obtained. Ultimately, the results of the NL model indicated that it performed better and with higher precision, compared to the traditional multinomial logit (MNL) model.