Estimation model of life insurance claims risk for cancer patients by using Bayesian method

The Indonesian Operations Research Association (IORA) - International Conference on Operations Research 2016

Sukono^1 ; Suyudi, M.^1 ; Islamiyati, F.^1 ; Supian, S.^1

Department of Mathematics, Universitas Padjadjaran, Indonesia^1

关键词: Bayesian approaches;    Bayesian methods;    Cancer patients;    Estimation models;    Estimation results;    Homogeneous group;    Life insurance;    Model estimation;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/166/1/012022/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/166/1/012022

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

This paper discussed the estimation model of the risk of life insurance claims for cancer patients using Bayesian method. To estimate the risk of the claim, the insurance participant data is grouped into two: the number of policies issued and the number of claims incurred. Model estimation is done using a Bayesian approach method. Further, the estimator model was used to estimate the risk value of life insurance claims each age group for each sex. The estimation results indicate that a large risk premium for insured males aged less than 30 years is 0.85; for ages 30 to 40 years is 3:58; for ages 41 to 50 years is 1.71; for ages 51 to 60 years is 2.96; and for those aged over 60 years is 7.82. Meanwhile, for insured women aged less than 30 years was 0:56; for ages 30 to 40 years is 3:21; for ages 41 to 50 years is 0.65; for ages 51 to 60 years is 3:12; and for those aged over 60 years is 9.99. This study is useful in determining the risk premium in homogeneous groups based on gender and age.