Empirical Statistical Model of Climatic Changes in the Volga Region

International Conference and Early Career Scientists School on Environmental Observations, Modeling and Information Systems: ENVIROMIS-2018

生态环境科学;计算机科学

Perevedentsev, Y.P.^1 ; Shantalinskii, K.M.^1 ; Guryanov, V.V.^1 ; Nikolaev, A.A.^1 ; Aukhadeev, T.R.^1

Kazan (Volga Region) Federal University, Russia^1

关键词: Air temperature;    Arctic Oscillation;    Climatic changes;    Meteorological station;    Standard deviation;    Statistical modeling;    Temperature changes;    Vertical distributions;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/211/1/012016/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/211/1/012016

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Climatic changes in the Volga Federal Region from 1928 to 2017 are examined. CRU data, meteorological stations, and reanalysis ERA-Interim data are used. An estimation of global factors in the variability of air temperature in the region is made. For the first time, for the VFR, an empirical-statistical model is constructed for vertical distributions (up to 64 km) of air temperature, average standard deviation of temperature, linear trend slope coefficient, and low frequency temperature component. The effect of Arctic Oscillation on temperature changes near the Earth's surface and in the layer of 7-3 hPa in the stratosphere are evaluated.