Road safety analysis on Srondol _ Jatingaleh highway, using Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) Case study: Semarang City, Central Java, Indonesia

CITIES 2017: Multi Perspectives on Peri-Urban Dynamics Towards Sustainable Development

地球科学;经济学

Istiyanto, B.^1 ; Widitasari, D.^2

Road Safety Transportasion Polytechnic, St.Semeru, Tegal Regency

ID-TGL 52125, Indonesia^1

Road Safety Transportasion Polytechnic, St.Diponegoro, Jombang Regency

ID-JBG 61452, Indonesia^2

关键词: amenitive;    and highwsay safety manual;    CMF method;    Negative binomial regression;    SPFS;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/202/1/012005/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/202/1/012005

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Problem: Toll Roads Section B (Srondol - Jatingaleh) Semarang have facilities and road traffic safety management has been installed, but the number of accidents in 2011 to 2015 still around 16% to 25%. The Road hazard caused by facilities and road safety management such as various issues can be the factors that cause accidents and become a black spot areas. Method: This reseach finds some factors that influence the safety function performance. Safety analysis with CMFs method which uses an analysis by HSM and give some solutions to improve the safety performance of highway. Data were collected by observation for primary data and literature studied for secondary data and It were analyzed with method using Crash Modification Factors (CMFs), Empirical Bayes (EB), and Negative Binomial Regression. The results of the analysis showed the factors that influence the amount of accident is happened and predictive modeling accident toll roads Srondol - Jatingaleh. Accident prediction modeling calibration with data on the number of accidents is 0.1, which means the method CMFs and EB can be used to analysis and predict the accidents on Srondol - Jatingaleh highway.