Research on investment decisions model of trans-regional transmission network based on the theory of NPV

3rd International Conference on Advances in Energy Resources and Environment Engineering

能源学;生态环境科学

Zai, Wenjiao^1,2 ; Wang, Bo^2 ; Liu, Jichun^1 ; Shi, Haobo^3 ; Zeng, Pingliang^3

School of Electrical Engineering and Information, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China^1

Engineering Institute, Sichuan Normal University, Cheng Du, China^2

China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China^3

关键词: Causality diagrams;    Expected return;    Interest rates;    Investment decisions;    Investment returns;    System dynamic models;    System Dynamics;    Transmission investments;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/113/1/012046/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/113/1/012046

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The investment decision model of trans-regional transmission network in the context of Global Energy Internet was studied in this paper. The key factors affecting the trans-regional transmission network investment income: the income tax rate, the loan interest rate, the expected return on investment of the investment subject, the per capita GDP and so on were considered in the transmission network investment income model. First, according to the principle of system dynamics, the causality diagram of key factors was constructed. Then, the dynamic model of transmission investment decision was established. A case study of the power transmission network between China and Mongolia, through the simulation of the system dynamic model, the influence of the above key factors on the investment returns was analyzed, and the feasibility and effectiveness of the model was proved.