Research on Relation between El Nino Climate and Summer Electricity Consumption

2017 3rd International Conference on Environmental Science and Material Application

生态环境科学;材料科学

Miao, B.^1 ; Lin, J.Y.^1 ; Liu, C.^1

China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China^1

关键词: Climate;    EL Nino;    El Nino phenomena;    Electricity-consumption;    Influence on climate;    Least square methods;    Meteorological factors;    Typical climates;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/108/5/052006/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/108/5/052006

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

El Nino is a typical climate phenomena. Such phenomena would have influence on climate in China and furthermore impact the electricity condition. This paper is purposed to explore how El Nino phenomena affecting electricity and make prediction on summer electricity consumption. Since meteorological characteristics are complex and multiplex, a variety of meteorological factors should be considered and the paper used Body Feeling Temperature to measure it. Furthermore, to make prediction on summer electricity, the paper used the Pearson Analysis to measure the correlation between weather and electricity and then extracted the weather-used electricity from the whole society electricity using least square method. Finally, the paper built the model on relation between weather-used electricity and body feeling temperature, and took Beijing as an example to make electricity prediction. The prediction idea and model the paper put forward is reliable and practicable.