Foreign trade and pollution: the case of South China water quality

International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Protection 2016

能源学;生态环境科学

Zuo, Hui^1 ; Ai, Danxiang^2 ; Lin, Yuling^3

School of Economics and Commerce, Guangdong University of Technology, Longdong, Yinglong Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China^1

School of Management, Guangdong University of Technology, Longdong, Yinglong Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China^2

Counrty Garden Co. LTD, Country Garden Avenue, Shunde District, Foshan City, Guangdong Province, China^3

关键词: Economic growths;    Endogenous models;    Environment change;    General least squares;    Key variables;    South China;    Turning points;    Water environments;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/52/1/012074/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1742-6596/52/1/012074

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

With rapid economic growth, South China has to face the most serious water pollution. However, whether or not such kind of water pollution is mainly caused by foreign trade is questionable. And, how the trade mode will be changed by pollution and corresponding regulation is also uncertain. In this paper, a fully endogenous model, which integrate economic growth, energy use and pollution, is designed to interpret the interrelation among these key variables in South China. Through this model, a new possibility of water environment Kuznets curve change has been investigated. Attribute to mixed two stage feasible general least square estimation method, we conclude that foreign trade has strong influence on environment change rate and the turning point. It can make the virtuous circle of between economic growth and environment improvement come early or later in different circumstances. Export and import play different role in such process and have counter effects on environment.