A Restudy of the Impact of Climate on Brazil Based on National Vulnerability Model

2018 4th International Conference on Environmental Science and Material Application

生态环境科学;材料科学

Wang, Bao^1

School of North China Electric Power University, Baoding, China^1

关键词: Agricultural productions;    Breakthrough point;    Economic stability;    Environment change;    Grey prediction;    State intervention;    Vulnerability models;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/252/4/042114/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/252/4/042114

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

Based on research of national vulnerability, Grey prediction and regression analysis are applied to predict the impact of environment change of Brazilian fragility. According to the result, the impact of climate change on Brazilizan agricultural production is relatively larger. We define the breakthrough point as that climate change severely undermines national economic stability and predict that Brazil will reach the breakthrough point in 2060 without state intervention measures.