Modeling the optimal decision-making strategy of an organization using mathematical methods

International Scientific Conference «AGRITECH-2019: Agribusiness, Environmental Engineering and Biotechnologies»

农业科学;生态环境科学;生物科学

Zaitseva, I.V.^1^2 ; Malafeyev, O.A.^2 ; Shevchenko, E.A.^1 ; Svechinskaya, T.A.^3 ; Lugovskoy, S.I.^1

Stavropol State Agrarian University, Zootekhnichesky Lane 12, Stavropol

355017, Russia^1

Saint-Petersburg State University, Faculty of Applied Mathematics and Control Processes, 7/9 Universitetskaya nab., St.-Petersburg

199034, Russia^2

Stavropol Branch, Moscow Pedagogical State University, 66G Dovatortsev Street, Stavropol

355042, Russia^3

关键词: Competitive environment;    Decision making models;    Finite number;    Finite set;    Mathematical method;    Optimal decision making;    Optimal strategies;    Transition process;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/315/2/022035/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/315/2/022035

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The paper builds and studies a stochastic decision-making model under the influence of both negative and positive factors in a competitive environment. There is a finite set of company states, which is estimated by the value of the firm's capitalization per unit of time. Depending on the decision taken, the company goes into one or another state. In each state, the set of valid strategies depends on this state. The purpose of the simulation is to find the optimal strategy that maximizes the expected capitalization of the company from the transition process to various states, having a finite number of stages.