The selection of the main factors affecting the socio-economic development of the Arctic regions of Russia

4th International Scientific Conference "Arctic: History and Modernity"

生态环境科学;历史学

Teplaya, K.^1 ; Stepanova, M.^1 ; Stroganova, O.A.^1 ; Baranova, T.A.^1

Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, St. Petersburg, Russia^1

关键词: Comparative analysis;    Correlation analysis;    Gross regional products;    Literature reviews;    Primary processing;    Socio-economic development;    Statistical datas;    System of indicators;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/302/1/012097/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/302/1/012097

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

This article considers the socio-economic development of the Arctic regions of Russia, using the example of some areas of the North-West Federal District. As part of the study the socio-economic development of the Arkhangelsk Region, the bordering Republic of Komi, and the Murmansk Region was assessed and analyzed. The analysis was carried out by studying the interaction of variables characterizing the social and economic spheres of human activity in the Arctic zone of Russia. In order to do it a system of indicators was formed. The gross regional product was chosen as a dependent indicator. The main indicators of the economic and social sphere were considered as influencing factors. The assessment was carried out by means of studying interrelations of variables and a comparative analysis of factors affecting the Arctic region. The article provides a literature review on the topic. Besides, the given study describes a methodology for conducting a comparative analysis of the socio-economic development of regions. The methodology includes: goal setting, collecting statistical data, analyzing the dynamics of the estimated indicators, primary processing of time series, bringing them to a normalized form, checking for stationarity using two criteria, bringing them to stationary form, the correlation analysis of the studied parameters, the construction of a regression model for the analysis of each region. In order to compare the socio-economic development of the Arctic regions three independent equations were compiled and the coefficients of equations were determined. The article provides general conclusions on the analysis of the identified interrelations. In the future, the model can be expanded in order to obtain more accurate results and to make the most accurate forecast of the socio-economic development of the analyzed regions.