Forecasting of electricity capacity and suggestions of future industrial economy adjustment based on electricity-economy production function

3rd International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Protection

能源学;生态环境科学

Hu, Yishuang^1 ; Ding, Yi^1 ; Xia, Xiang^2 ; Fang, Jianliang^2 ; Jiang, Wei^2 ; Zhang, Ning^2

College of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Zhejiang province

310027, China^1

State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou

310007, China^2

关键词: Capacity prediction;    Economy growth;    Expert analysis;    Industrial structures;    Output values;    Production function;    Zhejiang Province;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/227/3/032012/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1755-1315/227/3/032012

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

It is of great importance to make critical adjustments on industrial structure, which can provide a positive influence on the development of economy. However, due to the strong relationship between society electricity capacity and industrial economy, traditional electricity capacity prediction algorithms are too complicated to be applied. Therefore, this paper proposes a production-function-based electricity capacity prediction algorithm, considering the interaction between output value of three major industries/38 industries and electricity capacity. As the secondary industry takes a significant part in society economy and electricity capacity, this paper divides the secondary industry into 38 industries to make further analysis. With the help of predicted economy growth of three major industries and 38 industries obtained by expert analysis, the future industries electricity capacity of Zhejiang province can be calculated by production functions. Considering the impact of future industrial electricity capacity, this paper makes some suggestions on adjustment measures of three major industries and 38 industries structure.