Estimation of Effective Demand of Population for Energy Sector Services in the Far East*

International Multi-Conference on Industrial Engineering and Modern technologies

Naiden, S.N.^1 ; Dyomina, O.V.^1

Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Khabarovsk, Russia^1

关键词: Climatic conditions;    Consumption of energy;    Economy growth;    Effective demands;    Electricity costs;    Housing provisions;    Institutional change;    Metering devices;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/463/4/042086/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/463/4/042086

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The article is devoted to estimating the effective demand of population for energy sector services in the Far East. It shows that objective factors connected to geographical and climatic conditions, settlement and housing provision in the region, explain high consumption of energy resources: electricity - 33% higher than country average per capita, heat - 2.3 times higher. The article shows that only electricity market allows population to control the demand, unlike the heat market, where payments are made according to standards and using metering devices is restricted by the specifics of communal infrastructure of housing. Despite the attempts to control the growth of tariffs in the Far East, their nominal size is 2-4 times higher than country average. The article states that the potential for growth of population income in the region is limited and its rate cannot compensate for the growth of tariffs. It is shown that even with the 75% standard of limitation on the level of compensation for utilities cost, the share of expenses on them in regional households in 2016 reached 11.1%, with 70% out of them being electricity costs. In the event of full compensation of costs for the producers of electricity in the Far East either one of the following is required: the increase of population income of 1.5-2 times which is unlikely considering the limited economy growth and labor market, or considerable increase of budgetary social support which contradicts the logic of institutional changes aimed at lowering the financial burden of the state.