On the forecasting of trends of specific mixed loads of electric consumers of microdistricts and cities change in the conditions of inadequate data

3rd International Scientific and Technical Conference “Energy Systems”

Gasho, E.G.^1 ; Guzhov, S.V.^2 ; Krolin, A.A.^3

Department of Industrial Heat and Power Systems, National Research University MPEI, Krasnokazarmennaya St. 14, Moscow

111250, Russia^1

Department of Heat and Mass Transfer Processes and Installations, National Research University MPEI, Krasnokazarmennaya St. 14, Moscow

111250, Russia^2

Energy Management Department, National Research University MPEI, Krasnokazarmennaya St. 14, Moscow

111250, Russia^3

关键词: Climatic conditions;    Electric consumers;    Electrical energy;    Inadequate data;    Methods of analysis;    Socio-economics;    Urban energy systems;   

Others  :  https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1757-899X/552/1/012013/pdf
DOI  :  10.1088/1757-899X/552/1/012013

来源: IOP

【 摘 要 】

The paper gives a brief analysis of modern methods of analysis, confirmation and prediction of specific mixed loads of electric consumers in housing estates and cities and formulates the main problems afflicting the reorganization of the industry, taking into account the requirements of digitalization of the economy. In order to identify the advantages and disadvantages of various solutions for optimizing the compilation of energy balances, a mathematical model is constructed, which allows analyzing the needs of microdistricts and cities in electrical energy and realizes the forecast of the development of urban energy systems in different socio-economic and climatic conditions.