For most environmental systems, specifically wastewater treatment plants and aquifers, a significant number of performance data variables are attained on a time series basis. Due to the interconnectedness of the variables, it is often difficult to assess over-arching trends and quantify temporal operational performance. The objective of this research study was to provide an effective means for comprehensive temporal evaluation of environmental systems. The proposed methodology used several multivariate data analyses and statistical techniques to present an assessment framework for the water quality monitoring programs as well as optimization of treatment plants and aquifer systems. The developed procedure considered the combination of statistical and data analysis algorithms including correlation techniques, factor analysis and principal component analysis, and multivariate stepwise regression analysis. Those methodologies were used to develop a series of independent indexes to quantify the composition of wastewater and groundwater. Also, by developing a stepwise data analysis approach, a baseline was introduced to discover the key operational parameters which significantly affect the performance of environmental systems. Moreover, a comprehensive approach was introduced to develop numerical models for forecasting key operational and quality parameters which can be used for future simulation and scenario analysis practices. The developed methodology and frameworks were successfully applied to four case studies which include three wastewater treatment plants and an aquifer system. In the first case study, the aforementioned approach was applied to the Floyds Fork water quality treatment center in Louisville, KY. The objective of this case study was to establish simple and reliable predictive models to correlate target variables with specific measured parameters. The study presented a multivariate statistical and data analyses of the wastewater physicochemical parameters to provide a baseline for temporal assessment of the treatment plant. Fifteen quality and quantity parameters were analyzed using data recorded from 2010 to 2016. To determine the overall quality condition of raw and treated wastewater, a Wastewater Quality Index (WWQI) was developed. To identify treatment process performance, the interdependencies between the variables were determined by using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The five extracted components adequately represented the organic, nutrient, oxygen demanding, and ion activity loadings of influent and effluent streams. The study also utilized the model to predict quality parameters such as Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD), Total Phosphorus (TP), and WWQI. High accuracies ranging from 71% to 97% were achieved for fitting the models with the training dataset and relative prediction percentage errors less than 9%
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Assessment and optimization of environmental systems using data analysis and simulation.