An evaluation of alternative transfer designs for the Nicaraguan Red de Protecciòn Social

Micro-simulation;Conditional cash transfers;Red de Proteccion Social;Impact Evaluation

Meyer, Jennifer A. ; Arends-Kuenning ; Mary P.

关键词: Micro-simulation;    Conditional cash transfers;    Red de Proteccion Social;    Impact Evaluation;   

Others  :  https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/bitstream/handle/2142/24295/Meyer_Jennifer.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

美国|英语

来源: The Illinois Digital Environment for Access to Learning and Scholarship

【 摘 要 】

This paper applies a micro-simulation method to evaluate the effects of the transfer design of a conditional cash transfer program in Nicaragua for households with two eligible children. The paper then exploits evidence from the experimental implementation of the Red de Protección program to validate its behavioral model and method simulation. After validating its methods, the paper simulates alternative program designs. The simulation of alternative programs suggests that delivering benefits on a per-child basis or unconditionally will lower attendance rates relative to the original RPS program, which delivered its benefits at the household level. The paper concludes by discussing possible mechanisms driving the simulated results and the contributions and limitations of ex-ante evaluation methods.