On the Effectiveness of Exchange Rate Interventions in Emerging Markets

Christian Daudei ; Eduardo Levy Yeyatiii ; Arne Nagengastiii iOECDiiUniversidad Torcuato Di TellaiiiDeutsche Bundesbank

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

关键词: FX intervention;    equilibrium exchange rate;    exchange rate;   

DOI  :  https://doi.org/10.1787/5jxwwfmxfdth-en

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: OECD iLibrary

【 摘 要 】

We analyse the effectiveness of exchange rate interventions for a panel of 18 emerging market economies during the period 2003-11. Using an error-correction model approach, we find that on average intervention is effective in moving the real exchange rate in the desired direction, controlling for deviations from the equilibrium and short-term changes in fundamentals and global financial variables. Our results are robust to different samples and estimation methods. We find little evidence of asymmetries in the effect of sales and purchases, but some evidence of more effective interventions for large deviations from the equilibrium. We also explore differences across countries according to the possible transmission channels and nature of some global shocks.