Unrestricted Market Access for Sub-Saharan Africa : How Much Is It Worth and Who Pays?

Ianchovichina, Elena ; Mattoo, Aaditya ; Olarreaga, Marcelo

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES;    AGGREGATE EXPORTS;    AGGREGATE IMPORTS;    AGGREGATE SUPPLY;    AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-2595
RP-ID  :  WPS2595

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

The European Union (EU), Japan, and theUnited States (US) have recently announced initiatives toimprove market access for the poorest countries. The authorsassess the impact on Sub-Saharan Africa of theseinitiatives, and others that might be taken. They find thatfully unrestricted access to all the Quad countries (Canada,The EU, Japan, and the US) would produce substantial gainsfor Sub-Saharan Africa, leading to a fourteen percentincrease in non-oil exports ($ 2.5 billion), and boostingreal incomes by about one percent ($ 1.8 billion). Most ofthese gains would come from preferential access to thehighly protected Japanese, and European agriculturalmarkets, especially the heavily protected Japanese marketfor meat, and certain cereal grains. The smallness ofSub-Saharan Africa's trade ensures that the costs oftrade diversion for the Quad, other developing countries,and the world, would be on the whole, negligible. Oneconcern, however, is that preferential access to protectedmarkets might lead Sub-Saharan Africa to produce goods inwhich it does not have a global comparative advantage, andthe future erosion of these preferences might lead toadjustment costs.