Impact of Rising Rice Prices and Policy Responses in Mali : Simulations with a Dynamic CGE Model

Nouve, Kofi ; Wodon, Quentin

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: AGGREGATE DEMAND;    AGRARIAN ECONOMY;    AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES;    AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS;    AGRICULTURAL HOUSEHOLDS;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-4739
RP-ID  :  WPS4739

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

The increase in the international priceof rice is likely to have substantial negative impacts onthe poor in countries such as Mali which are net importersof rice. This paper relies on a dynamic CGE model toestimate the likely impact of the recent increase in riceprices on poverty with and without policy responses. Twosets of policy responses are considered: import tax cuts onrice and measures to increase productivity of domestic riceproduction. The results suggest that an increase inproductivity would have a much larger positive impact than areduction in taxes.