Global Inequality in a More Educated World

Ahmed, Syud Amer ; Bussolo, Maurizio ; Cruz, Marcio ; Go, Delfin S. ; Osorio-Rodarte, Israel

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: INEQUALITY;    EDUCATION;    DEMOGRAPHICS;    STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-8135
RP-ID  :  WPS8135

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

In developing countries, younger andbetter-educated cohorts are entering the workforce. Thisdeveloping world-led education wave is altering the skillcomposition of the global labor supply, and impacting incomedistribution, at the national and global levels. This paperanalyzes how this education wave reshapes global inequalityover the long run using a general-equilibrium macro-microsimulation framework that covers harmonized householdsurveys representing almost 90 percent of the worldpopulation. The findings under alternative assumptionssuggest that global income inequality will likely decreaseby 2030. This increasing educated labor force willcontribute to the closing of the gap in average incomesbetween developing and high income countries. Theforthcoming education wave would also minimize, mainly fordeveloping countries, potential further increases ofwithin-country inequality.