The Labor Market Effects of Venezuelan Migration in Ecuador

Olivieri, Sergio ; Ortega, Francesc ; Carranza, Eliana ; Rivadeneira, Ana

World Bank, Washington, DC

关键词: INTERNAL MIGRATION;    LABOR MARKET;    MIGRANT LABOR;    FOREIGN WORKERS;    EMPLOYMENT;   

DOI  :  10.1596/1813-9450-9336
RP-ID  :  WPS9336

学科分类：社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

来源: World Bank Open Knowledge Repository

【 摘 要 】

As of 2019, more than 1.2 millionVenezuelans passed through Ecuador and more than 400,000settled (almost 3 percent of Ecuador's population).This paper analyzes the location choices of Venezuelanmigrants in Ecuador and the labor market consequences ofthese choices, using data from Ecuador's labor forcesurvey and mobile phone records on the geographicdistribution of Venezuelan migrants. Around half of themigrants live in four cantons (of 221). Their location isprimarily driven by local economic conditions, rather thanpoint of entry. Overall, the regions with the largestinflows of Venezuelans have not seen any effects on labormarket participation or employment, compared with regionswith fewer inflows. However, our difference-in-differenceestimates clearly indicate that young, low-educatedEcuadoran workers in high-inflow regions have been adverselyaffected. Specifically, the estimates that these workershave experienced reductions in employment quality, a 5percentage-point increase in the rate of informality, and a13 percentage-point reduction in earnings, relative toworkers with similar characteristics living in areas withvery low or non-existent inflows of Venezuelans.