After a weak performance in the firsthalf of 2019, helped by monetary easing, faster publicspending and some one-off effects, economic growth in Russiapicked up in the third quarter at 1.7 percent, y/y.Consequently, our 2019 forecast has been revised upwards to1.2 percent (from its previous reading of 1 percent).Globally, growth has weakened substantially in 2019,reflecting a broad-based slowdown in industrial activity andglobal trade. Slowing external demand and the OPECagreement weighed on Russia's exports performance.Crude oil prices fell 14 percent in January-September 2019,y/y, reflecting a downturn in the world economy.