Risk Management at NASA and Its Applicability to the Oil and Gas Industry

Kaplan, David

关键词: RISK MANAGEMENT;    PROBABILITY THEORY;    NATURAL GAS;    RISK ASSESSMENT;    GASOLINE;    OILS;    HUMAN PERFORMANCE;    DRILLING;    WATER DEPTH;    INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION;    HIGH PRESSURE;    HIGH TEMPERATURE;    OFFSHORE ENERGY SOURCES;    MAINTENANCE;    RISK;   

RP-ID  :  JSC-E-DAA-TN53055

美国|英语

来源: NASA Technical Reports Server

【 摘 要 】

NASA has a world-class capability for quantitatively assessing the risk of highly-complex, isolated engineering structures operated in extremely hostile environments. In particular, the International Space Station (ISS) represents a reasonable risk analog for High Pressure, High Temperature drilling and production operations on deepwater rigs. Through a long-term U.S. Government Interagency Agreement, BSEE has partnered with NASA to modify NASA's Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) capabilities for application to deepwater drilling and production operations. The immediate focus of the activity will be to modify NASA PRA Procedure Guides and Methodology Documents to make them applicable to the Oil &Gas Industry. The next step will be for NASA to produce a PRA for a critical drilling system component, such as a Blowout Preventer (BOP). Subsequent activities will be for NASA and industry partners to jointly develop increasingly complex PRA's that analyze other critical drilling and production system components, including both hardware and human reliability. In the presentation, NASA will provide the objectives, schedule, and current status of its PRA activities for BSEE. Additionally, NASA has a Space Act Agreement with Anadarko Petroleum Corporation to develop a PRA for a generic 20K BOP. NASA will summarize some of the preliminary insights gained to date from that 20K BOP PRA as an example of the distinction between quantitative versus qualitative risk assessment.