ASSESSMENT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE RADIATION DOSES FOR THE TECHA RIVER DOSIMETRY SYSTEM

Napier, Bruce A. ; Degteva, M. O. ; Anspaugh, L. R. ; Shagina, N. B.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (U.S.)

关键词: Implementation;    Techa River Techa River;    61 Radiation Protection And Dosimetry;    Dosimetry;    Uncertainty Analysis;   

DOI  :  10.2172/989056
RP-ID  :  PNNL-18913
RP-ID  :  AC05-76RL01830
RP-ID  :  989056

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

In order to provide more accurate and precise estimates of individual dose (and thus more precise estimates of radiation risk) for the members of the ETRC, a new dosimetric calculation system, the Techa River Dosimetry System-2009 (TRDS-2009) has been prepared. The deterministic version of the improved dosimetry system TRDS-2009D was basically completed in April 2009. Recent developments in evaluation of dose-response models in light of uncertain dose have highlighted the importance of different types of uncertainties in the development of individual dose estimates. These include uncertain parameters that may be either shared or unshared within the dosimetric cohort, and also the nature of the type of uncertainty as aleatory or epistemic and either classical or Berkson. This report identifies the nature of the various input parameters and calculational methods incorporated in the Techa River Dosimetry System (based on the TRDS-2009D implementation), with the intention of preparing a stochastic version to estimate the uncertainties in the dose estimates. This report reviews the equations, databases, and input parameters, and then identifies the author’s interpretations of their general nature. It presents the approach selected so that the stochastic, Monte-Carlo, implementation of the dosimetry System - TRDS-2009MC - will provide useful information regarding the uncertainties of the doses.