Low Probability Tail Event Analysis and Mitigation in BPA Control Area: Task 2 Report

Lu, Shuai ; Makarov, Yuri V. ; McKinstry, Craig A. ; Brothers, Alan J. ; Jin, Shuangshuang

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (U.S.)

关键词: Probability;    Mitigation;    24 Power Transmission And Distribution;    Power Systems;   

DOI  :  10.2172/967233
RP-ID  :  PNNL-18769
RP-ID  :  AC05-76RL01830
RP-ID  :  967233

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

Task report detailing low probability tail event analysis and mitigation in BPA control area. Tail event refers to the situation in a power system when unfavorable forecast errors of load and wind are superposed onto fast load and wind ramps, or non-wind generators falling short of scheduled output, causing the imbalance between generation and load to become very significant.