Advanced Modeling of Renewable Energy Market Dynamics: May 2006

Evans, M. ; Little, R. ; Lloyd, K. ; Malikov, G. ; Passolt, G. ; Arent, D. ; Swezey, B. ; Mosey, G.

National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.)

关键词: Subsidies;    Modifications;    Market Penetration;    Forecasting;    Classification;   

DOI  :  10.2172/912955
RP-ID  :  NREL/TP-640-41896
RP-ID  :  AC36-99-GO10337
RP-ID  :  912955

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

This report documents a year-long academic project, presenting selected techniques for analysis of market growth, penetration, and forecasting applicable to renewable energy technologies. Existing mathematical models were modified to incorporate the effects of fiscal policies and were evaluated using available data. The modifications were made based on research and classification of current mathematical models used for predicting market penetration. An analysis of the results was carried out, based on available data. MATLAB versions of existing and new models were developed for research and policy analysis.