Centrales au gaz et Energies renouvelables: comparer des pommes avec des pommes

Bolinger, Mark ; Wiser, Ryan ; Golove, William

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

关键词: Natural Gas;    Promoters;    Stability;    Apples;    Prices;   

DOI  :  10.2172/842891
RP-ID  :  LBNL--54043
RP-ID  :  AC03-76SF00098
RP-ID  :  842891

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

The fundamental conclusion that we draw from this analysis is that one should not to base itself blindly on forecasts prices of natural gas when one compare contracts at price fixes with producers of renewable energy with contracts at variable prices with promoters power stations with gas. Indeed, forecasts of the prices of gas do not succeed not to enter the associated costs with the covering of the risk, that they are connected to the negative pressure against the cover, with the CAPM, with costs of transaction or with unspecified combination of three. Thus, insofar as price stability to length term is developed, better way of comparing the two choices would be to have recourse to the data on the prices in the long term natural gas, and not with forecasts of the prices. During three last years at least, the use of these prices in the long term would have besides license to correct a methodological error who, obviously, seem to have supported unduly, and of relatively important way, power stations with natural gas compared to their competitors of renewable energies.