On The Use Of Models To Assess Foot-And-Mouth Disease Transmission And Control

Kostova-Vassilevska, Tanya

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

关键词: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory;    Diseases;    99 General And Miscellaneous//Mathematics, Computing, And Information Science;    59 Basic Biological Sciences;    Simulation;   

DOI  :  10.2172/15014467
RP-ID  :  UCRL-TR-205241
RP-ID  :  W-7405-ENG-48
RP-ID  :  15014467

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

The 2001 outbreaks of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Europe (Ferguson et al. 2001a, 2001b; Bouma et al. 2003) and concern about the possibility of an intentional introduction of a devastating foreign animal disease triggered renewed interest in both theoretical and experimental research related to FMD. Theoretical models of disease transmission, which influenced the tactical decisions of the United Kingdom (UK) government during the epidemic (Taylor 2003), resulted in large numbers of uninfected animals being slaughtered. After the epidemic, the adopted control policies were sharply criticized (Kitching 2004;, Taylor 2003). Still, the role of computationaL modeling for analyzing the scope of the epidemic and devising control strategies was recognized as substantial and necessary.