International Exchange of Emergency Phase Information and Assessment: An Aid to Inter/National Decision Makers

Sullivan, T J ; Chino, M ; Ehrhardt, J ; Shershakov, V

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

关键词: Management;    Forecasting;    Sensitivity;    Communications;    54 Environmental Sciences;   

DOI  :  10.2172/15005404
RP-ID  :  UCRL-ID-152535
RP-ID  :  W-7405-ENG-48
RP-ID  :  15005404

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

This paper discusses a collaborative project whose purpose is (1) to demonstrate the technical feasibility and mutual benefit of a system seeking early review or preview, in a ''quasi peer review'' mode, of nuclear accident plume and dose assessment predictions by four major international nuclear accident emergency response systems before release of their calculations to their respective national authorities followed by (2) sharing these results with responsible international authorities. The extreme sensitivity of the general public to any nuclear accident information has been a strong motivation to seek peer review prior to public release. Another intended objective of this work is (3) the development of an affordable/accessible system for distribution of prediction results to countries having no prediction capabilities and (4) utilization of the link for exercises and collaboration studies. The project exploits the Internet as a ubiquitous communications medium, browser technology as a simple, user friendly interface, and low-cost PC level hardware. The participants are developing a web based dedicated node with ID and password access control, where the four systems can deposit a minimal set of XML-based data and graphics files, which are then displayed in a common identical map format. Side-by-side viewing and televideo conferencing will permit rapid evaluation, correction or elaboration of data, recalculation (if necessary) and should produce a strong level of consensus to assist international decision makers. Successful completion of this work could lead to easy utilization by national and international organizations, such as the IAEA and WHO, as well as by non-nuclear states at risk of a trans-boundary incursion on their territory.