Final Technical Report for Collaborative Research: Regional climate-change projections through next-generation empirical and dynamical models, DE-FG02-07ER64429

Smyth, Padhraic

University of California, Irvine

关键词: 97 Mathematics And Computing;    58 Geosciences;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1088032
RP-ID  :  Final Report
RP-ID  :  FG02-07ER64429
RP-ID  :  1088032

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

This is the final report for a DOE-funded research project describing the outcome of research on non-homogeneous hidden Markov models (NHMMs) and coupled ocean-atmosphere (O-A) intermediate-complexity models (ICMs) to identify the potentially predictable modes of climate variability, and to investigate their impacts on the regional-scale. The main results consist of extensive development of the hidden Markov models for rainfall simulation and downscaling specifically within the non-stationary climate change context together with the development of parallelized software; application of NHMMs to downscaling of rainfall projections over India; identification and analysis of decadal climate signals in data and models; and, studies of climate variability in terms of the dynamics of atmospheric flow regimes.