Systems analysis of past, present, and future chemical terrorism scenarios.

Hoette, Trisha Marie

Sandia National Laboratories

关键词: Systems Analysis;    Biological Warfare;    99 General And Miscellaneous//Mathematics, Computing, And Information Science;    Globalization;    45 Military Technology, Weaponry, And National Defense;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1039409
RP-ID  :  SAND2012-1468
RP-ID  :  AC04-94AL85000
RP-ID  :  1039409

美国|英语

来源: UNT Digital Library

【 摘 要 】

Throughout history, as new chemical threats arose, strategies for the defense against chemical attacks have also evolved. As a part of an Early Career Laboratory Directed Research and Development project, a systems analysis of past, present, and future chemical terrorism scenarios was performed to understand how the chemical threats and attack strategies change over time. For the analysis, the difficulty in executing chemical attack was evaluated within a framework of three major scenario elements. First, historical examples of chemical terrorism were examined to determine how the use of chemical threats, versus other weapons, contributed to the successful execution of the attack. Using the same framework, the future of chemical terrorism was assessed with respect to the impact of globalization and new technologies. Finally, the efficacy of the current defenses against contemporary chemical terrorism was considered briefly. The results of this analysis justify the need for continued diligence in chemical defense.