How USDA Forecasts Retail Food Price Inflation

Annemarie Kuhns ; Richard Volpe , Ephraim Leibtag ; Ed Roeger

United States Department of Agriculture

关键词: Food Price Outlook;    food prices;    Consumer Price Index (CPI);    Producer Price Index (PPI);    forecasts;    vertical price transmission model;    autoregressive moving average approach;    error correction model;    autoregressive distributed lag;    univariate moving average approach;   

RP-ID  :  TB-1940

学科分类：农业科学（综合）

美国|英语

来源: United States Department of Agriculture Publications

【 摘 要 】

In recent years, ERS has used a revised methodology for forecasting food price inflation, which captures price impacts at various stages of the food supply system and results in improved precision of the forecasts.