War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable

David C. Gompert ; Astrid Cevallos ; Cristina L. Garafola

RAND Corporation

RAND Corporation

关键词: International Diplomacy;    Threat Assessment;    United States;    Japan;    China;    Warfare and Military Operations;   

DOI  :  10.7249/RR1140
ISBN  :  9780833091550
RP-ID  :  RR-1140-A

学科分类：自然科学（综合）

美国|英语

来源: RAND Corporation Published Research

【 摘 要 】

Premeditated war between the United States and China is very unlikely, but the danger that a mishandled crisis could trigger hostilities cannot be ignored. Thus, while neither state wants war, both states' militaries have plans to fight one. As Chinese anti-access and area-denial (A2AD) capabilities improve, the United States can no longer be so certain that war would follow its plan and lead to decisive victory. This analysis illuminates various paths a war with China could take and their possible consequences.