Modeling the Oil Transition: A Summary of the Proceedings of the DOE/EPA Workshop on the Economic and Environmental Implications of Global Energy Transitions

Greene, David L¹ 

[1] ORNL

关键词: ECONOMIC IMPACT;    ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS;    ENERGY SOURCES;    FORECASTING;    PLANNING;    ENERGY MODELS;    PETROLEUM;    FUEL SUBSTITUTION;   

DOI  :  10.2172/969655
RP-ID  :  ORNL/TM-2007/014
PID  :  OSTI ID: 969655
Others  :  Other: 400408000
Others  :  TRN: US201002%%237

学科分类：能源（综合）

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

The global energy system faces sweeping changes in the next few decades, with potentially critical implications for the global economy and the global environment. It is important that global institutions have the tools necessary to predict, analyze and plan for such massive change. This report summarizes the proceedings of an international workshop concerning methods of forecasting, analyzing, and planning for global energy transitions and their economic and environmental consequences. A specific case, it focused on the transition from conventional to unconventional oil and other energy sources likely to result from a peak in non-OPEC and/or global production of conventional oil. Leading energy models from around the world in government, academia and the private sector met, reviewed the state-of-the-art of global energy modeling and evaluated its ability to analyze and predict large-scale energy transitions.