Estimates of the long-term U.S. economic impacts of global climate change-induced drought.

Ehlen, Mark Andrew ; Loose, Verne W. ; Warren, Drake E. ; Vargas, Vanessa N.

关键词: AVAILABILITY;    CLIMATES;    ECONOMIC IMPACT;    ECONOMICS;    FORECASTING;    PRECIPITATION;    WATER;    CLIMATIC CHANGE;    DROUGHTS Water conservation.;    Macroeconomics.;   

DOI  :  10.2172/984152
RP-ID  :  SAND2010-0692
PID  :  OSTI ID: 984152
Others  :  TRN: US201015%%1073

学科分类：环境科学（综合）

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

While climate-change models have done a reasonable job of forecasting changes in global climate conditions over the past decades, recent data indicate that actual climate change may be much more severe. To better understand some of the potential economic impacts of these severe climate changes, Sandia economists estimated the impacts to the U.S. economy of climate change-induced impacts to U.S. precipitation over the 2010 to 2050 time period. The economists developed an impact methodology that converts changes in precipitation and water availability to changes in economic activity, and conducted simulations of economic impacts using a large-scale macroeconomic model of the U.S. economy.