Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Market Introduction Study: Final Report

Sikes, Karen¹  Gross, Thomas¹  Lin, Zhenhong²  Sullivan, John³  Cleary, Timothy¹  Ward, Jake⁴ 

[1]Sentech, Inc.

[2]ORNL

[3]University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute

[4]U.S. Department of Energy

关键词: ACCELERATION;    COMMERCIALIZATION;    ECONOMICS;    EXPENDITURES;    MARKET;    NATIONAL GOVERNMENT;    ORNL;    REGULATIONS;    SALES;    SIMULATION Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle electricity;   

DOI  :  10.2172/972306
RP-ID  :  ORNL/TM-2009/019
PID  :  OSTI ID: 972306
Others  :  Other: VT0702030
Others  :  CEVT120
Others  :  TRN: US201005%%296

学科分类：航空航天科学

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Sentech, Inc., Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)/University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute (UMTRI), and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) have conducted a Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Market Introduction Study to identify and assess the effect of potential policies, regulations, and temporary incentives as key enablers for a successful market debut. The timeframe over which market-stimulating incentives would be implemented - and the timeframe over which they would be phased out - are suggested. Possible sources of revenue to help fund these mechanisms are also presented. In addition, pinch points likely to emerge during market growth are identified and proposed solutions presented. Finally, modeling results from ORNL's Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies (MA3T) Model and UMTRI's Virtual AutoMotive MarketPlace (VAMMP) Model were used to quantify the expected effectiveness of the proposed policies and to recommend a consensus strategy aimed at transitioning what begins as a niche industry into a thriving and sustainable market by 2030. The primary objective of the PHEV Market Introduction Study is to identify the most effective means for accelerating the commercialization of PHEVs in order to support national energy and economic goals. Ideally, these mechanisms would maximize PHEV sales while minimizing federal expenditures. To develop a robust market acceleration program, incentives and policies must be examined in light of: (1) clarity and transparency of the market signals they send to the consumer; (2) expenditures and resources needed to support them; (3) expected impacts on the market for PHEVs; (4) incentives that are compatible and/or supportive of each other; (5) complexity of institutional and regulatory coordination needed; and (6) sources of funding.