Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Value Proposition Study - Final Report

Sikes, Karen¹  Hadley, Stanton W²  McGill, Ralph N²  Cleary, Timothy¹ 

[1] Sentech, Inc.;ORNL

关键词: BUSINESS;    CALIFORNIA;    COMMERCIALIZATION;    ELECTRICITY;    GASOLINE;    HYBRID ELECTRIC-POWERED VEHICLES;    MAINTENANCE;    MANUFACTURING;    MARKET;    NATIONAL SECURITY;    OPERATING COST;    OWNERSHIP;    PRICE;   

DOI  :  10.2172/985766
RP-ID  :  ORNL/TM-2010/46
PID  :  OSTI ID: 985766
Others  :  Other: TD5009010
Others  :  CETD004
Others  :  TRN: US201017%%235

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

PHEVs have been the subject of growing interest in recent years because of their potential for reduced operating costs, oil displacement, national security, and environmental benefits. Despite the potential long-term savings to consumers and value to stakeholders, the initial cost of PHEVs presents a major market barrier to their widespread commercialization. The study Objectives are: (1) To identify and evaluate value-added propositions for PHEVs that will help overcome the initial price premium relative to comparable ICEs and HEVs and (2) to assess other non-monetary benefits and barriers associated with an emerging PHEV fleet, including environmental, societal, and grid impacts. Study results indicate that a single PHEV-30 on the road in 2030 will: (1) Consume 65% and 75% less gasoline than a comparable HEV and ICE, respectively; (2) Displace 7.25 and 4.25 barrels of imported oil each year if substituted for equivalent ICEs and HEVs, respectively, assuming 60% of the nation's oil consumed is imported; (3) Reduce net ownership cost over 10 years by 8-10% relative to a comparable ICE and be highly cost competitive with a comparable HEV; (4) Use 18-22% less total W2W energy than a comparable ICE, but 8-13% more than a comparable HEV (assuming a 70/30 split of E10 and E85 use in 2030); and (5) Emit 10% less W2W CO{sub 2} than equivalent ICEs in southern California and emits 13% more W2W CO{sub 2} than equivalent ICEs in the ECAR region. This also assumes a 70/30 split of E10 and E85 use in 2030. PHEVs and other plug-in vehicles on the road in 2030 may offer many valuable benefits to utilities, business owners, individual consumers, and society as a whole by: (1) Promoting national energy security by displacing large volumes of imported oil; (2) Supporting a secure economy through the expansion of domestic vehicle and component manufacturing; (3) Offsetting the vehicle's initial price premium with lifetime operating cost savings (e.g., lower fuel and maintenance costs); (4) Supporting the use of off-peak renewable energy through smart charging practices. However, smart grid technology is not a prerequisite for realizing the benefits of PHEVs; and (5) Potentially using its bidirectional electricity flow capability to aid in emergency situations or to help better manage a building's or entire grid's load.