Analysis of Federal Subsidies: Implied Price of Carbon

D. Craig Cooper ; Thomas Foulke

关键词: CARBON;    CLIMATES;    FINANCIAL INCENTIVES;    GREENHOUSE GASES;    PRICES;    SUPPLY AND DEMAND;    EMISSION carbon;    carbon price;    cliamte change;    CO2;    energy subsidies;    federal policy;    implied price of carbon;   

DOI  :  10.2172/991906
RP-ID  :  INL/EXT-10-19340
PID  :  OSTI ID: 991906
Others  :  TRN: US201022%%81

学科分类：能源（综合）

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

For informed climate change policy, it is important for decision makers to be able to assess how the costs and benefits of federal energy subsidies are distributed and to be able to have some measure to compare them. One way to do this is to evaluate the implied price of carbon (IPC) for a federal subsidy, or set of subsidies; where the IPC is the cost of the subsidy to the U.S. Treasury divided by the emissions reductions it generated. Subsidies with lower IPC are more cost effective at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while subsidies with a negative IPC act to increase emissions. While simple in concept, the IPC is difficult to calculate in practice. Calculation of the IPC requires knowledge of (i) the amount of energy associated with the subsidy, (ii) the amount and type of energy that would have been produced in the absence of the subsidy, and (iii) the greenhouse gas emissions associated with both the subsidized energy and the potential replacement energy. These pieces of information are not consistently available for federal subsidies, and there is considerable uncertainty in cases where the information is available. Thus, exact values for the IPC based upon fully consistent standards cannot be calculated with available data. However, it is possible to estimate a range of potential values sufficient for initial comparisons. This study has employed a range of methods to generate ???first order??? estimates for the IPC of a range of federal subsidies using static methods that do not account for the dynamics of supply and demand. The study demonstrates that, while the IPC value depends upon how the inquiry is framed and the IPC cannot be calculated in a ???one size fits all??? manner, IPC calculations can provide a valuable perspective for climate policy analysis. IPC values are most useful when calculated within the perspective of a case study, with the method and parameters of the calculation determined by the case. The IPC of different policy measures can then be quantitatively evaluated within the case. Results can be qualitatively compared across cases, so long as such comparisons are considered to be preliminary and treated with the appropriate level of caution.