US Renewable Futures in the GCAM

Smith, Steven J. ; Mizrahi, Andrew H. ; Karas, Joseph F. ; Nathan, Mayda

关键词: CLIMATES;    ELECTRICITY;    RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES;    WIND POWER;    SOLAR ENERGY;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1027702
RP-ID  :  PNNL-20823
PID  :  OSTI ID: 1027702
Others  :  Other: EB5701000
Others  :  TRN: US201123%%343

学科分类：再生能源与代替技术

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

This project examines renewable energy deployment in the United States using a version of the GCAM integrated assessment model with detailed a representation of renewables, the GCAM-RE. Electricity generation was modeled in four generation segments and 12-subregions. This level of regional and sectoral detail allows a more explicit representation of renewable energy generation. Wind, solar thermal power, and central solar PV plants are implemented in explicit resource classes with new intermittency parameterizations appropriate for each technology. A scenario analysis examines a range of assumptions for technology characteristics, climate policy, and long-distance transmission. We find that renewable generation levels grow over the century in all scenarios. As expected, renewable generation increases with lower renewable technology costs, more stringent climate policy, and if alternative low-carbon technology are not available. The availability of long distance transmission lowers policy costs and changes the renewable generation mix.