Comparison of Capacity Value Methods for Photovoltaics in the Western United States

Madaeni, S. H. ; Sioshansi, R. ; Denholm, P.

关键词: APPROXIMATIONS;    AVAILABILITY;    CAPACITY;    ORIENTATION;    POWER SYSTEMS;    SOLAR ENERGY PHOTOVOLTAICS;    PV;    CAPACITY VALUE;    APPROXIMATION METHOD;    Z METHOD;    GARVER'S APPROXIMATION METHOD;    RELIABILITY-BASED METHOD;    Energy Analysis;    Solar Energy - Photovoltaics;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1046871
RP-ID  :  NREL/TP-6A20-54704
PID  :  OSTI ID: 1046871
Others  :  TRN: US201215%%667

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

This report compares different capacity value estimation techniques applied to solar photovoltaics (PV). It compares more robust data and computationally intense reliability-based capacity valuation techniques to simpler approximation techniques at 14 different locations in the western United States. The capacity values at these locations are computed while holding the underlying power system characteristics fixed. This allows the effect of differences in solar availability patterns on the capacity value of PV to be directly ascertained, without differences in the power system confounding the results. Finally, it examines the effects of different PV configurations, including varying the orientation of a fixed-axis system and installing single- and double-axis tracking systems, on the capacity value. The capacity value estimations are done over an eight-year running from 1998 to 2005, and both long-term average capacity values and interannual capacity value differences (due to interannual differences in solar resource availability) are estimated. Overall, under the assumptions used in the analysis, we find that some approximation techniques can yield similar results to reliability-based methods such as effective load carrying capability.