Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings under Uncertainty with an Integrated Assessment Model: Technical Background Data

Scott, Michael J.¹  Daly, Don S.¹  Hathaway, John E.² 

[1] Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States);Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United

关键词: Building-energy demand;    integrated assessment models;    uncertainty analysis;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1166883
RP-ID  :  PNNL--23918
PID  :  OSTI ID: 1166883

学科分类：能源（综合）

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

This report presents data and assumptions employed in an application of PNNL???s Global Change Assessment Model with a newly-developed Monte Carlo analysis capability. The model is used to analyze the impacts of more aggressive U.S. residential and commercial building-energy codes and equipment standards on energy consumption and energy service costs at the state level, explicitly recognizing uncertainty in technology effectiveness and cost, socioeconomics, presence or absence of carbon prices, and climate impacts on energy demand. The report provides a summary of how residential and commercial buildings are modeled, together with assumptions made for the distributions of state???level population, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per worker, efficiency and cost of residential and commercial energy equipment by end use, and efficiency and cost of residential and commercial building shells. The cost and performance of equipment and of building shells are reported separately for current building and equipment efficiency standards and for more aggressive standards. The report also details assumptions concerning future improvements brought about by projected trends in technology.