Investigating Marine Boundary Layer Parameterizations by Combining Observations with Models via State Estimation

Delle Monahce, Luca¹  Clifton, Andrew²  Hacker, Joshua¹  Kosovic, Branko¹  Lee, Jared¹  Vanderberghe, Francois¹  Wu, Yonghui¹  Hawkins, Sam³  Nissen, Jesper³ 

[1] University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR), Boulder, CO (United States);National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States);Vattenfall, Solna Municipality (Sweden)

关键词: State estimation;    WRF;    DART;    WWIII;    Fino data;   

DOI  :  10.2172/1325248
RP-ID  :  FInalReport_UCAR5374_30June15
PID  :  OSTI ID: 1325248

学科分类：再生能源与代替技术

美国|英语

来源: SciTech Connect

【 摘 要 】

In this project we have improved numerical weather prediction analyses and forecasts of low level winds in the marine boundary layer. This has been accomplished with the following tools; The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Weather and Research Forecasting model, WRF, both in his single column (SCM) and three-dimensional (3D) versions; The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Wave Watch III (WWIII); SE algorithms from the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART, Anderson et al. 2009); and Observations of key quantities of the lower MBL, including temperature and winds at multiple levels above the sea surface. The experiments with the WRF SCM / DART system have lead to large improvements with respect to a standard WRF configuration, which is currently commonly used by the wind energy industry. The single column model appears to be a tool particularly suitable for off-shore wind energy applications given its accuracy, the ability to quantify uncertainty, and the minimal computational resource requirements. In situations where the impact of an upwind wind park may be of interest in a downwind location, a 3D approach may be more suitable. We have demonstrated that with the WRF 3D / DART system the accuracy of wind predictions (and other meteorological parameters) can be improved over a 3D computational domain, and not only at specific locations. All the scripting systems developed in this project (i.e., to run WRF SCM / DART, WRF 3D / DART, and the coupling between WRF and WWIII) and the several modifications and upgrades made to the WRF SCM model will be shared with the broader community.