Modelling the impacts of policies on advanced biofuel feedstocks diffusion

JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION

卷:142

Article

Ribeiro, Lauro Andre^1,2  da Silva, Patricia Pereira^3,4  Ribeiro, Leila⁵  Dotti, Fernando Luis⁶ 

[1] Fac Merid IMED, Sch Architecture & Urbanism, R Sen Pinheiro 30, BR-99070220 Passo Fundo, Brazil

[2] INESC Coimbra, R Sen Pinheiro 30, BR-99070220 Passo Fundo, Brazil

[3] Univ Coimbra, Fac Econ, INESC Coimbra, Inst Syst Engn & Comp Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal

[4] CeBER, Ctr Business & Econ Res, Coimbra, Portugal

[5] Univ Fed Rio Grande do Sul, Inst Informat, BR-90046900 Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil

[6] Pontificial Catholic Univ Rio Grande do Sul, Dept Comp Sci, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil

关键词: Advanced biofuels;    Economic diffusion;    Renewables;    Transportation;    Emerging technologies;    Modelling;   

DOI  :  10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.11.027

来源: Elsevier

【 摘 要 】

This paper analyzes the market share penetration of advanced biofuels and assesses the economical, political and technological factors critical to the diffusion of advanced biofuels. This study comprises economic policies, processes of technological diffusion of emerging technologies and a methodology for modelling possible transportation fuel scenarios. In order to model future scenarios, Stochastic Automata Networks (SAN) are used, a structured formalism that provides a high-level abstraction to represent continuous and discrete-time Markovian models. The results show that in order to boost development of advanced biofuels, public investment in R&D is the most important policy to be adopted. Developing strategies aimed to renewable resources; applying tax incentives and subsidies; and issuing mandatory country objectives are also encouraged. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

【 授权许可】

Free